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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rustam Khabilov vs Shamil Musaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Shamil Musaev
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Shamil Musaev

“Silent Assassin”

18-1-1WelterweightPFL

1782Great

Tale of the tape

24-4-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
40,5"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGolden Team· 1723 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rustam KhabilovNow 1788
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Shamil MusaevNow 1782
If they win+16→ 1798
If they lose-16→ 1766

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.98
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
66%
Strike defense
Not available
3.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
42%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
61%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.09
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Rustam KhabilovShamil Musaev
175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
5 (21%)
Submission
2 (11%)
15 (63%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Musaev65%
Rustam Khabilov 35%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Musaev a 65% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Khabilov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1788 vs 1782), separated by just 6 points.

Rustam Khabilov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.