Rustam Khabilov vs Shamil Musaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-4-0Record18-1-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
40,5"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGolden Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1797
If they lose-12→ 1773
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1706 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rustam KhabilovShamil Musaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Musaev72%
Rustam Khabilov 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Musaev a 72% favorite over Rustam Khabilov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rustam Khabilov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1785 vs 1780), separated by just 5 points.
Rustam Khabilov finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Musaev 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.