Combat Edge Intelligence

Rustam Serbiev vs Sean Lally

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sean Lally
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Sean Lally

“The Unpredictable One”

9-6-0WelterweightCTFC

1541Average

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"HeightTBD
69"Reach40,5"
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamJuniko

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Sean LallyNow 1541
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-16→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.23
TBD
Strike defense
30%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Rustam SerbievSean Lally
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (56%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
4 (44%)
Submission
1 (11%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev60%
Sean Lally 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 60% favorite over Sean Lally in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sean Lally's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1541), separated by just 1 points.

Rustam Serbiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sean Lally 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.