Rustam Serbiev vs Steven Kennedy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record27-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
69"Reach71.00
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKickass MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+24→ 1560
If they lose-24→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rustam SerbievSteven Kennedy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Serbiev60%
Steven Kennedy 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 60% favorite over Steven Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1536), separated by just 4 points.
Steven Kennedy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rustam Serbiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steven Kennedy 78%.
Steven Kennedy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.