Rustam Serbiev vs Tyler Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record13-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'4"
69"Reach79"
169 lbsWeight171 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamMemphis Judo and Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rustam SerbievTyler Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rustam Serbiev55%
Tyler Hill 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 55% favorite over Tyler Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1537), separated by just 3 points.
Rustam Serbiev finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Hill 92%.
Tyler Hill carries a 10-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.