Ryan Bader vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-8-0Record21-12-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74,0"ReachTBD
232 lbsWeight205 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tito Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1837
If they lose-13→ 1813
If they win+13→ 1802
If they lose-11→ 1778
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan BaderTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader56%
Tito Ortiz 44%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 56% favorite over Tito Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1826 to 1789, a 37-point edge.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ryan Bader finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.