Ryan Bader vs Vladimir Matyushenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-8-0Record27-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
74,0"ReachTBD
232 lbsWeight205 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamVMAT
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Vladimir Matyushenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1830
If they lose-17→ 1806
If they win+17→ 1701
If they lose-7→ 1677
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1732 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan BaderVladimir Matyushenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader83%
Vladimir Matyushenko 17%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 83% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1684, a 139-point edge.
Ryan Bader finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.