Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Bastianelli vs Ryan Hickey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-7-0Record0-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Combat FitnessTeamPathway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Ryan Hickey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ryan Bastianelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ryan BastianelliNow 1435
If they win+18→ 1453
If they lose-14→ 1421
Ryan HickeyNow 1471
If they win+22→ 1493
If they lose-26→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryan BastianelliRyan Hickey
1450150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
6 (100%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Hickey72%
Ryan Bastianelli 28%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 72% favorite over Ryan Bastianelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ryan Hickey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1435, a 36-point edge.

Ryan Bastianelli enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryan Bastianelli finishes 0% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.