Ryan Cafaro vs Vince Murdock
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record11-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach66,0"
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Nick Catone MMA & FitnessTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryan CafaroVince Murdock
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Cafaro68%
Vince Murdock 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Cafaro a 68% favorite over Vince Murdock in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.
Vince Murdock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Cafaro finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vince Murdock 82%.
Ryan Cafaro and Vince Murdock share 1 common opponent: Jeremiah Labiano.
Ryan Cafaro carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2023
Loss Decision · 2016