Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Firinaiu vs Scott Junk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Scott Junk
us

Scott Junk

“Punk Haole”

8-3-1HeavyweightHEAT

1551Solid

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-3-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
MMA Gold Fight TeamTeamMMA Development

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan FirinaiuNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533
Scott JunkNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.81
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan FirinaiuScott Junk
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Firinaiu73%
Scott Junk 27%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Firinaiu a 73% favorite over Scott Junk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1551), separated by just 6 points.

Ryan Firinaiu enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Scott Junk 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.