Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Gracie vs Tre'ston Vines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamKage Fit Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan GracieNow 1591
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Tre'ston VinesNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryan GracieTre'ston Vines
15001550160020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
2 (40%)
Submission
1 (10%)
1 (20%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ryan Gracie and Tre'ston Vines within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.

Ryan Gracie enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ryan Gracie finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.