Ryan Hickey vs Walel Watson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record15-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
136 lbsWeight134 lbs
Pathway Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Bodyshop· 1649 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447
If they win+12→ 1484
If they lose-12→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan HickeyWalel Watson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Hickey70%
Walel Watson 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Hickey a 70% favorite over Walel Watson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Walel Watson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1471 vs 1472), separated by just 1 points.
Walel Watson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Walel Watson 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.