Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Jensen vs Steve Steinbeiss

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-8-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
175 lbsWeight186 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPower MMA Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan JensenNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Steve SteinbeissNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.92
40%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.86
59%
Strike defense
49%
1.76
Takedown avg.
0.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
31%
Takedown defense
58%
2.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan JensenSteve Steinbeiss
15001550160020092010201120122013

Win method breakdown

9 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
12 (57%)
Submission
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Steve Steinbeiss60%
Ryan Jensen 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Steve Steinbeiss a 60% favorite over Ryan Jensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1592), separated by just 6 points.

Steve Steinbeiss enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Ryan Jensen finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Steve Steinbeiss 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.