Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Loder vs Steve Vigneault

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight169 lbs
Apex Wrestling AcademyTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Steve VigneaultNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.76
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
71%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.77
50%
Strike defense
45%
1.57
Takedown avg.
0
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
100%
1.57
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan LoderSteve Vigneault
1550160016502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder52%
Steve Vigneault 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 52% favorite over Steve Vigneault in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Vigneault's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1592), separated by just 2 points.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Loder finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Steve Vigneault 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.