Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Loder vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Loder
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Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
Apex Wrestling AcademyTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.76
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
71%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
50%
Strike defense
54%
1.57
Takedown avg.
0.76
14%
Takedown accuracy
57%
100%
Takedown defense
65%
1.57
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryan LoderTafon Nchukwi
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder56%
Tafon Nchukwi 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 56% favorite over Tafon Nchukwi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1590 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryan Loder finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.