Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan MacDonald vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record5-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
40.00Reach71"
135 lbsWeight140 lbs
Disorderly ConductTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan MacDonaldNow 1507
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Shane CampbellNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryan MacDonaldShane Campbell
150020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell53%
Ryan MacDonald 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 53% favorite over Ryan MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1508), separated by just 1 points.

Ryan MacDonald finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.