Ryan MacDonald vs Teruto Ishihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record14-14-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
40.00Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Disorderly ConductTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan MacDonaldTeruto Ishihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan MacDonald60%
Teruto Ishihara 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan MacDonald a 60% favorite over Teruto Ishihara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teruto Ishihara's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1507 vs 1508), separated by just 1 points.
Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan MacDonald finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.
Ryan MacDonald and Teruto Ishihara share 1 common opponent: Willie Gates.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.