Ryan Madigan vs Tamdan McCrory
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record14-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach78,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jungle Fight TeamTeamCNY MMA
What's at stake
Tamdan McCrory is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ryan Madigan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1539
If they lose-15→ 1491
If they win+10→ 1652
If they lose-22→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan MadiganTamdan McCrory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tamdan McCrory67%
Ryan Madigan 33%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Tamdan McCrory a 67% favorite over Ryan Madigan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Tamdan McCrory holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1506, a 136-point edge.
Ryan Madigan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Madigan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.