Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan McGillivray vs Wissame Akhmouch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-1Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight168 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan McGillivrayNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Wissame AkhmouchNow 1563
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.27
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
21%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
44%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryan McGillivrayWissame Akhmouch
15501600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (83%)
Submission
5 (71%)
1 (8%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ryan McGillivray and Wissame Akhmouch within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1563), separated by just 1 points.

Wissame Akhmouch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ryan McGillivray finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Wissame Akhmouch 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.