Ryan Roberts vs Tristan Gagne
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-12-1Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Disorderly ConductTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryan RobertsTristan Gagne
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tristan Gagne54%
Ryan Roberts 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tristan Gagne a 54% favorite over Ryan Roberts in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Roberts's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1529), separated by just 0 points.
Ryan Roberts finishes 52% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.