Ryan Spann vs Łukasz Brzeski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight236 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNKSW Holy Team
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Łukasz Brzeski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1716
If they lose-18→ 1692
If they win+23→ 1558
If they lose-9→ 1526
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan SpannŁukasz Brzeski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann86%
Łukasz Brzeski 14%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 86% favorite over Łukasz Brzeski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1535, a 175-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Spann finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.
Ryan Spann and Łukasz Brzeski share 1 common opponent: Waldo Cortes-Acosta.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.