Ryan Spann vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-11-0Record18-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
79"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight256 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan SpannSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Serghei Spivac59%
Ryan Spann 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 59% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Spann's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ryan Spann finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Ryan Spann and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Waldo Cortes-Acosta.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.