Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryan Spann vs Serghei Spivac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Spann
us

Ryan Spann

“Superman”

24-11-0HeavyweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

24-11-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
79"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight256 lbs
Fortis MMATeamPolar Bear Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryan SpannNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698
Serghei SpivacNow 1723
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-17→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
39%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
43%
Strike defense
52%
1.30
Takedown avg.
3.82
35%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
64%
1.79
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Ryan SpannSerghei Spivac
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
14 (58%)
Submission
8 (44%)
3 (13%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ryan Spann and Serghei Spivac within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1723), separated by just 13 points.

Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryan Spann finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.

Ryan Spann and Serghei Spivac share 1 common opponent: Waldo Cortes-Acosta.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2025
Waldo Cortes-Acosta
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025