Ryan Spann vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-11-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight262 lbs
Fortis MMATeamUltimate Kombat Fitness
What's at stake
Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Ryan Spann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1724
If they lose-10→ 1700
If they win+13→ 1792
If they lose-19→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryan SpannWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Waldo Cortes-Acosta68%
Ryan Spann 32%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 68% favorite over Ryan Spann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1710, a 69-point edge.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ryan Spann finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.
Ryan Spann and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Łukasz Brzeski.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.