Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryo Chonan vs Sean Clancy Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Chonan
jp

Ryo Chonan

“Piranha”

22-13-0WelterweightTTF

1673Good

Tale of the tape

22-13-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tribe Tokyo MMA· 1627 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamHigher Level MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryo ChonanNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Sean Clancy Jr.Now 1674
If they win+24→ 1698
If they lose-24→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
61%
Strike defense
TBD
0.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
39%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryo ChonanSean Clancy Jr.
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (38%)
13 (59%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean Clancy Jr.70%
Ryo Chonan 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean Clancy Jr. a 70% favorite over Ryo Chonan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Ryo Chonan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sean Clancy Jr. enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ryo Chonan finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Sean Clancy Jr. 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.