Ryo Hirayama vs Shawn Bunch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
X-Treme EbinaTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo HirayamaShawn Bunch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Hirayama70%
Shawn Bunch 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 70% favorite over Shawn Bunch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1568), separated by just 2 points.
Ryo Hirayama finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shawn Bunch 27%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.