Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryo Hirayama vs Vince Cachero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
X-Treme EbinaTeamFight Science

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryo HirayamaNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Vince CacheroNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.51
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
19%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Ryo HirayamaVince Cachero
1550160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
2 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Hirayama66%
Vince Cachero 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Hirayama a 66% favorite over Vince Cachero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.

Vince Cachero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Hirayama finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vince Cachero 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.