Ryo Sakai vs Sam Fulton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight250 lbs
Ranger GymTeam
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sam Fulton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
If they win+27→ 1473
If they lose-21→ 1425
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSam Fulton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai75%
Sam Fulton 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 75% favorite over Sam Fulton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1446, a 45-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sam Fulton enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.