Ryo Sakai vs Samuele Di Guardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record4-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
Ranger GymTeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 14 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1506
If they lose-12→ 1482
If they win+24→ 1511
If they lose-24→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSamuele Di Guardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai58%
Samuele Di Guardo 42%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 58% favorite over Samuele Di Guardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1487), separated by just 7 points.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Samuele Di Guardo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Samuele Di Guardo 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.