Ryo Sakai vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach-
246 lbsWeight240 lbs
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryo Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1507
If they lose-11→ 1483
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter52%
Ryo Sakai 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 52% favorite over Ryo Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1494, a 15-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.