Ryo Sakai vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-15-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach-
246 lbsWeight240 lbs
Ranger GymTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ryo Sakai carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1504
If they lose-11→ 1480
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter59%
Ryo Sakai 41%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 59% favorite over Ryo Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1491, a 18-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.