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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryo Sakai vs Scott Bessac

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
jp

Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1494Average

Tale of the tape

15-16-0Record4-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight259 lbs
Ranger GymTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Scott Bessac carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ryo SakaiNow 1494
If they win+11→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1481
Scott BessacNow 1457
If they win+18→ 1475
If they lose-14→ 1443

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ryo SakaiScott Bessac
140014501500155019951996199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
5 (33%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai63%
Scott Bessac 37%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 63% favorite over Scott Bessac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1457, a 37-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Scott Bessac enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Scott Bessac 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.