Ryo Sakai vs Sergio Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-Reach-
246 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sergio Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1481
If they win+26→ 1497
If they lose-22→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSergio Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Martinez65%
Ryo Sakai 35%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 65% favorite over Ryo Sakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryo Sakai's way (47%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1471, a 23-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.