Ryo Sakai vs Sherman Pendergarst
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record11-18-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ranger GymTeamMiletich Fighting Systems
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sherman Pendergarst carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
If they win+14→ 1439
If they lose-10→ 1415
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiSherman Pendergarst
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai83%
Sherman Pendergarst 17%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 83% favorite over Sherman Pendergarst in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1425, a 66-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sherman Pendergarst enters on a 9-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sherman Pendergarst 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.