Ryo Sakai vs Stefan Leko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record0-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight218 lbs
Ranger GymTeamGolden Glory
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Stefan Leko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
If they win+27→ 1469
If they lose-21→ 1421
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiStefan Leko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai83%
Stefan Leko 17%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 83% favorite over Stefan Leko in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1442, a 49-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stefan Leko enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.