Ryo Sakai vs Tai Bowden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record1-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight230 lbs
Ranger GymTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1506
If they lose-12→ 1482
If they win+24→ 1520
If they lose-24→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiTai Bowden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai56%
Tai Bowden 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 56% favorite over Tai Bowden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tai Bowden's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1494 vs 1496), separated by just 2 points.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.