Ryo Sakai vs Tyson Fury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record35-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionheavyweight
5'11"Height6'9"
-Reach85"
246 lbsWeight254 lbs
Ranger GymTeamJimmy Egan's Boxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1503
If they lose-12→ 1479
If they win+23→ 1523
If they lose-25→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight EloTBD
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai59%
Tyson Fury 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 59% favorite over Tyson Fury in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Fury's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1491 vs 1500), separated by just 9 points.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Fury 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.