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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryo Sakai vs Willie Peeters

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryo Sakai
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Ryo Sakai

“Raging Bull”

15-16-0HeavyweightRFF

1494Average

Tale of the tape

15-16-0Record9-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight218 lbs
Ranger GymTeamDolman Gym

What's at stake

Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Willie Peeters carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ryo SakaiNow 1494
If they win+11→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1481
Willie PeetersNow 1471
If they win+13→ 1484
If they lose-11→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Ryo SakaiWillie Peeters
14501500155019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
5 (33%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryo Sakai54%
Willie Peeters 46%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 54% favorite over Willie Peeters in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1471, a 23-point edge.

Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Willie Peeters 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.