Ryo Sakai vs Yoshiaki Yatsu
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-16-0Record0-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight264 lbs
Ranger GymTeamSPWF
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yoshiaki Yatsu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1505
If they lose-13→ 1481
If they win+27→ 1481
If they lose-21→ 1433
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo SakaiYoshiaki Yatsu
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai55%
Yoshiaki Yatsu 45%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 55% favorite over Yoshiaki Yatsu in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1494 to 1454, a 40-point edge.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yoshiaki Yatsu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.