Ryo Takagi vs Vugar Karamov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
-Reach70.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Vugar Karamov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ryo Takagi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1578
If they win+12→ 1701
If they lose-20→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryo TakagiVugar Karamov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vugar Karamov79%
Ryo Takagi 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Vugar Karamov a 79% favorite over Ryo Takagi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Vugar Karamov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1689 to 1590, a 99-point edge.
Ryo Takagi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Vugar Karamov 76%.
Ryo Takagi and Vugar Karamov share 1 common opponent: Shuya Kimura.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO (Doctor Stoppage) · 2026
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2025