Ryoto Nishiyama vs Tony Kelley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-Reach70"
136 lbsWeight138 lbs
Paraestra HachiojiTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1513 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryoto NishiyamaTony Kelley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryoto Nishiyama53%
Tony Kelley 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryoto Nishiyama a 53% favorite over Tony Kelley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1593), separated by just 0 points.
Ryoto Nishiyama enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Ryoto Nishiyama finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tony Kelley 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.