Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryuki Ueyama vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-18-5Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
U-Spirit Japan MachidaTeamblooM

What's at stake

Taisei Mizusugi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ryuki Ueyama carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ryuki UeyamaNow 1454
If they win+13→ 1467
If they lose-11→ 1443
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+15→ 1485
If they lose-17→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ryuki UeyamaTaisei Mizusugi
140014501500201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
5 (38%)
Submission
1 (17%)
6 (46%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi75%
Ryuki Ueyama 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 75% favorite over Ryuki Ueyama in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Taisei Mizusugi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1454, a 16-point edge.

Ryuki Ueyama finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.