Ryusei Ashizawa vs Seiya Inoue
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Seiya Inoue53%
Ryusei Ashizawa 47%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Seiya Inoue a 53% favorite over Ryusei Ashizawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Seiya Inoue holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1531 to 1440, a 91-point edge.
Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Seiya Inoue enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-5-0Record2-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Freelance· 1571 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1628 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Seiya Inoue is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Ryusei Ashizawa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1470
If they lose-18→ 1422
If they win+18→ 1549
If they lose-30→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1484 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ryusei AshizawaSeiya Inoue