Combat Edge Intelligence

Ryuta Sakurai vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-28-6Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
R-BloodTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ryuta SakuraiNow 1523
If they win+12→ 1535
If they lose-12→ 1511
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1513 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ryuta SakuraiYusaku Kinoshita
1500155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (37%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
12 (40%)
Submission
2 (33%)
7 (23%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita70%
Ryuta Sakurai 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 70% favorite over Ryuta Sakurai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1527), separated by just 4 points.

Ryuta Sakurai enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ryuta Sakurai finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.