Saad Awad vs Victor Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Millennia MMATeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Saad AwadVictor Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Victor Martinez62%
Saad Awad 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Victor Martinez a 62% favorite over Saad Awad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.
Victor Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Saad Awad finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Victor Martinez 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.