Combat Edge Intelligence

Sabah Homasi vs Tim Means

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Sabah Homasi
us

Sabah Homasi

“The Sleek Sheik”

17-12-0WelterweightBFC

1580Solid
Tim Means
us

Tim Means

“The Dirty Bird”

33-17-1WelterweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

17-12-0Record33-17-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
72,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

Tim Means is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Sabah Homasi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Sabah HomasiNow 1580
If they win+14→ 1594
If they lose-10→ 1570
Tim MeansNow 1646
If they win+10→ 1656
If they lose-14→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.98
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
48%
Strike defense
60%
2.80
Takedown avg.
1.14
50%
Takedown accuracy
40%
67%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Sabah HomasiTim Means
1600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
20 (61%)
3 (18%)
Submission
5 (15%)
3 (18%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Sabah Homasi64%
Tim Means 36%Elo baseline: 41%

The Combat Edge model makes Sabah Homasi a 64% favorite over Tim Means in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tim Means's way (41%).

Tim Means holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1580, a 66-point edge.

Sabah Homasi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tim Means enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sabah Homasi finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Tim Means 76%.

Tim Means carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.