Sabir Talmoust vs Zelim Umarov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record3-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Cobra Fighting AcademyTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated
What's at stake
Zelim Umarov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sabir Talmoust carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1466
If they lose-22→ 1418
If they win+22→ 1489
If they lose-26→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Sabir TalmoustZelim Umarov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zelim Umarov67%
Sabir Talmoust 33%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Zelim Umarov a 67% favorite over Sabir Talmoust in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Zelim Umarov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1467 to 1440, a 27-point edge.
Sabir Talmoust enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Zelim Umarov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.