Combat Edge Intelligence

Sage Northcutt vs Zafar Mohsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zafar Mohsen
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Zafar Mohsen

“The Powerhouse”

15-4-0LightweightOKMMA

1663Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record15-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
71,5"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight150 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamKiboju Fight Fabrik Mannheim

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Sage NorthcuttNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Zafar MohsenNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.58
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.81
Takedown avg.
TBD
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
42%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.60
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Sage NorthcuttZafar Mohsen
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
4 (33%)
Submission
4 (27%)
3 (25%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Zafar Mohsen62%
Sage Northcutt 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Zafar Mohsen a 62% favorite over Sage Northcutt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sage Northcutt's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Zafar Mohsen enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Sage Northcutt finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Zafar Mohsen 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.