Saher Qasmieh vs Victor Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
64"Reach67,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamAK-49 Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Saher QasmiehVictor Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Saher Qasmieh59%
Victor Rodriguez 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Saher Qasmieh a 59% favorite over Victor Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1566), separated by just 6 points.
Saher Qasmieh enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Victor Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Saher Qasmieh finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Victor Rodriguez 100%.
Victor Rodriguez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.