Said-Khusein Akhyadov vs Seth Baczynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record21-16-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'3"
-ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight185 lbs
Stallion GymTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Said-Khusein AkhyadovSeth Baczynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said-Khusein Akhyadov70%
Seth Baczynski 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Said-Khusein Akhyadov a 70% favorite over Seth Baczynski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seth Baczynski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1554), separated by just 6 points.
Said-Khusein Akhyadov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Said-Khusein Akhyadov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.