Combat Edge Intelligence

Said Nurmagomedov vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club AkhmatTeamWarriors Camp

What's at stake

Said Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Saidyokub Kakhramonov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Said NurmagomedovNow 1723
If they win+15→ 1738
If they lose-17→ 1706
Saidyokub KakhramonovNow 1691
If they win+17→ 1708
If they lose-15→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1690 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
49%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.88
56%
Strike defense
59%
0.86
Takedown avg.
6.63
15%
Takedown accuracy
49%
63%
Takedown defense
83%
1.15
Submission avg.
1.95

Trajectory

Said NurmagomedovSaidyokub Kakhramonov
1650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
6 (33%)
Submission
5 (45%)
8 (44%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Said Nurmagomedov51%
Saidyokub Kakhramonov 49%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 51% favorite over Saidyokub Kakhramonov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Said Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1691, a 32-point edge.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Said Nurmagomedov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Saidyokub Kakhramonov 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.