Said Nurmagomedov vs Victor Henry
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamUWF USA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Said NurmagomedovVictor Henry
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov60%
Victor Henry 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 60% favorite over Victor Henry in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Victor Henry's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1727 vs 1729), separated by just 2 points.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Said Nurmagomedov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.
Said Nurmagomedov and Victor Henry share 1 common opponent: Raoni Barcelos.
Said Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.