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Combat Edge Intelligence

Said Nurmagomedov vs Victor Henry

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Victor Henry
us

Victor Henry

“La Mangosta”

25-7-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record25-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamUWF USA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Said NurmagomedovNow 1732
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
Victor HenryNow 1731
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
49%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
56%
Strike defense
48%
0.86
Takedown avg.
1.04
15%
Takedown accuracy
43%
63%
Takedown defense
81%
1.15
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Said NurmagomedovVictor Henry
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
6 (33%)
Submission
8 (32%)
8 (44%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Said Nurmagomedov72%
Victor Henry 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 72% favorite over Victor Henry in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Said Nurmagomedov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Victor Henry 60%.

Said Nurmagomedov and Victor Henry share 1 common opponent: Raoni Barcelos.

Said Nurmagomedov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2019
Raoni Barcelos
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022