Said Nurmagomedov vs Vinicius Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record24-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamSombra Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1750
If they lose-15→ 1718
If they win+15→ 1760
If they lose-17→ 1728
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Said NurmagomedovVinicius Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Said Nurmagomedov51%
Vinicius Oliveira 49%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 51% favorite over Vinicius Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vinicius Oliveira's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1745), separated by just 12 points.
Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Said Nurmagomedov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Oliveira 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.